Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko preview, head-to-head, predictions, odds and betting tips

Match Details

Fixing: (2) Madison Keys vs. (8) Victoria Mboko

Date: January 15, 2026

Tournament: Adelaide International

Round: Quarter-final

Place: Memorial Drive Tennis Centre, Adelaide, Australia

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Hard

Prize money: $1,206,446

Live Stream: United States – Tennis Channel | United Kingdom – Sky Sports

Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko Preview

Defending champion Madison Keys will face Victoria Mboko in the quarter-finals of the 2026 Adelaide International.

After a first-round bye, Keys faced Tereza Valentova in the second round. The American trailed by a break twice in the first set, but fought to stay level each time.

Despite being on the back foot for most of the set, Keys still had the last word at the end. She broke Valentova's serve in the 10th game to win the set. She turned up the intensity in the second set, dishing out a breadstick to record a 6-4, 6-1 victory.

Mboko beat Beatriz Haddad Maia 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 to reach the second round, where Anna Kalinskaya awaited her. The pair began the competition by trading breaks of serve. Mboko then swept five of the next six games to win the first set.

Kalinskaya responded by winning the second set, although Mboko saved a set point and prevented her from serving out the set on her first try. The latter was on the verge of victory but failed to serve out the match at 5-3.

Kalinskaya found herself in a similar position after a few minutes. She turned things around to go up 6-5 and served for the contest. However, she missed a match point as Mboko managed to force a tie-break. The latter saved another match point in the tie-break to win 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 (6).

Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko head to head

This will be the first career meeting between them, so the head-to-head is currently 0-0.

Madison Keys vs. Victoria Mboko Odds

(Odds via BetMGM)

Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko prediction

After a slow start against Valentova, Keys took control of the match and didn't give up until the end. She reached the last eight in Brisbane a week ago and also continued her good form in Adelaide.

Mboko has been tested at every stage this year. Both of their United Cup matches went to three sets, and the trend continued in Adelaide as well. She even saved a few match points against Kalinskaya in the previous round.

Keys' triumph in Adelaide last year marked the start of her purple period, which helped her win her first major World Championship title. Australian Open. Mboko showed remarkable composure after several three-set fights. However, as long as Keys controls her error count, she shouldn't be exhausted by whatever Mboko throws at her.

Take: Madison Keys will win in straight sets.

Madison Keys vs Victoria Mboko predictions

Tip 1: The match will consist of at least 20 matches.

Tip 2: Keys will surpass Mboko on serve.